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The Karkheh River Streamflow Forecast Based on the Modelling of Time Series

Credit to Download: 1 | Page Numbers 8 | Abstract Views: 105
Year: 2018
COI code: CAUCONF01_0079
Paper Language: English

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Authors The Karkheh River Streamflow Forecast Based on the Modelling of Time Series

  Karim Hamidi machekposhti - Department of Water Sciences and Engineering, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran,
  Hossein Sedghi - Department of Water Sciences and Engineering, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran,
Abdolrasoul Telvari - Department of Civil Engineering, Islamic Azad University, Ahvaz, Iran,
  Hossein Babazadeh - Department of Water Sciences and Engineering, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran,

Abstract:

Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models are appropriate for the annual streamflows (annual peak and maximum and also mean discharges) of the Karkheh River at Jelogir Majin station of Karkheh river basin in Khuzestan province in western Iran, through the Box- Jenkins time series modelling approach. In this research among the suggested models interpreted from ACF and PACF, ARIMA(4,1,1) for all annual streamflows satisfied all tests and showed the best performance. The model forecasted streamflow for ten leading years showed the ability of the model to forecast statistical properties of the streamflow in short time in future. The SAS and SPSS softwares were used to implement of the models.

Keywords:

Hydrologic Time Series, Box-Jenkins Approach, ARIMA Model, Karkheh River

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COI code: CAUCONF01_0079

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Hamidi machekposhti, Karim; Hossein Sedghi; Abdolrasoul Telvari & Hossein Babazadeh, 2018, The Karkheh River Streamflow Forecast Based on the Modelling of Time Series, Conference on Civil, Architectural and Urban Development in Muslim Countries, تبريز, دانشگاه  تبريز - دانشگاه شهيد مدني آذربايجان - دانشگاه علمي كاربردي شهرداري تبريز, https://www.civilica.com/Paper-CAUCONF01-CAUCONF01_0079.htmlInside the text, wherever referred to or an achievement of this article is mentioned, after mentioning the article, inside the parental, the following specifications are written.
First Time: (Hamidi machekposhti, Karim; Hossein Sedghi; Abdolrasoul Telvari & Hossein Babazadeh, 2018)
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