The New Revised Confidence Intervals for the Estimation of Cost and Time in Project Completion

Publish Year: 1398
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: English
View: 301

This Paper With 14 Page And PDF Format Ready To Download

  • Certificate
  • من نویسنده این مقاله هستم

استخراج به نرم افزارهای پژوهشی:

لینک ثابت به این Paper:

شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_UPAEI-8-2_008

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 1 دی 1398

Abstract:

One of the main challenges facing project managers is the evaluation of project progress and its earned value as well as the estimation of cost and time in project completion. In this paper, we attempt to develop a method which is based on confidence limits. The proposed method is of two approaches which distinguish the risks of activities implementation and the critical path in determination of confidence interval for completion cost and time. The above approach has applied a p-factor for weight determination in confidence intervals. In the final part, we will discuss the ways of applying these proposed methods and their importance with an example and also demonstrate the superiority of the above methods over the unmodified ones in a confidence interval.

Authors

Mohammad Taghi Hajiali

Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Industrial Engineering, University of Science and Technology, P.O.Box: ۱۶۸۴۶, Tehran, Iran

Kamran Shahanaghi

Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Industrial Engineering, University of Science and Technology, P.O.Box: ۱۶۸۴۶, Tehran, Iran

مراجع و منابع این Paper:

لیست زیر مراجع و منابع استفاده شده در این Paper را نمایش می دهد. این مراجع به صورت کاملا ماشینی و بر اساس هوش مصنوعی استخراج شده اند و لذا ممکن است دارای اشکالاتی باشند که به مرور زمان دقت استخراج این محتوا افزایش می یابد. مراجعی که مقالات مربوط به آنها در سیویلیکا نمایه شده و پیدا شده اند، به خود Paper لینک شده اند :
  • Amor J. (2002) Scheduling programs with repetitive projects using composite ...
  • Ang, A.H.  and Tang, W.H. (1975), Probability Concepts  in  Engineering ...
  • NADERPOUR, M. MOFID. (2011)  Improving Construction Management of an Educational ...
  • D.E. Lee, (2005) Probability of project completion using stochastic project ...
  • D.F. Cioffi, (2006) Designing project management: a scientific notation and ...
  • Franco C., Fabrizio R., Alessandro M. (2013) A Bayesian Approach ...
  • Fernando A., Javier P., José Manuel G., Adolfo L.P. (2013) ...
  • G.A. Barraza, W.E. Back, F. Mata, (2004) Probabilistic forecasting of ...
  • G. Vitner, S. Rozenes, S. Spraggett, (2006) Using data envelope ...
  • Hazır, Ö., & Shtub, A., (2011). Effects of the information ...
  • HomayounKhamooshi,Hamed Golafshani(2013). EDM: Earned Duration Management, a new approach to ...
  • Howard H., Richard F., Dewey B. (2013). Improved cost monitoring ...
  • Leila Moslemi N., Shahram S., Amir S. (2013) A fuzzy ...
  • Loch C., De Meyer A., Pich M. (2006) Managing the ...
  • M. Vanhoucke, S. Vandevoorde, (2007)  A simulation and evaluation of ...
  • M. Plaza, O. Turetken, (2009)  Amodel-based DSS for integrating the ...
  • Min-Yuan C., Hsien-Sheng P., Yu-Wei W., Te-Lin C. (2010). Estimate ...
  • Raafat Elshaer(2013), Impact of sensitivity information on the prediction of ...
  • S. Vandevoorde, M. Vanhoucke, (2006) A comparison of different project ...
  • S.S. Leu, Y.C. Lin, (2008) Project performance evaluation based on ...
  • Vanhoucke, M., (2011). On the dynamic use of project performance ...
  • Vanhoucke, M., (2012). Measuring the efficiency of project control using ...
  • W. Lipke, O. Zwikael, K. Henderson, F. Anbari, (2009)  Prediction ...
  • نمایش کامل مراجع