Prediction stock price using artificial neural network (Case study: chemical industry firms accepted in Tehran stock exchange)

Publish Year: 1395
نوع سند: مقاله کنفرانسی
زبان: English
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MANAGECONF01_405

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 5 بهمن 1395

Abstract:

The present paper aims to provide an efficient model to predict stock prices using neural networks is. Therefore the chemical industry companies accepted in Tehran Stock Exchange for the study were selected. Data for the period 2014 - 2010 prepared by using feed forward neural network with backpropagation algorithm to predict the stock price of the study was discussed. To evaluate the effectiveness of neural networks as compared to the classical methods of prediction, a comparison with regression (panel data) was performed. Both methods artificial neural network and regressionresults are consistent with But the total square error of neural network method is 0.29 and 1.68 in the regression that demonstrate the advantages and effectiveness of the neural network method than regression in predicting stock prices and chemical industry companies are listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange

Keywords:

Tehran stock exchange stock price forecasting , artificial neural network , Regresion

Authors

Ali Sorayaei

Department of management, Babol aranch, Islamic Azad Universitya

Zahra Atf

Master of Management, lecturer of Payam Noor University