الهام فتحی - دکترای جمعیت شناسی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی (واحد علوم و تحقیقات) تهران، ایران
محسن ابراهیم پور - دانشیار مرکز پژوهش های وزارت جهاد کشاورزی
منصور شریفی - استادیار جمعیت شناسی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد گرمسار
شهلا کاظمی پور - دانشیار جمعیت شناسی دانشگاه تهران

Recently, declining population growth through the Process of the demographic transition has raised concerns for government officials. In such a way that in the general population policies, in 2014, the level of fertility that should rais to higher than replacement level.The experiences of other countries show that when fertility is below the level of Neplacement, they have devised measures to prevent the slowdown in population growth. In Iran, in order to prevent the decline in population growth, along with paving the way for increasing fertility, it is possible to improve life expectancy and prevent premature death (which is mainly caused by traffic accidents). The research method is the analysis of secondary data using demographic techniques. Thus, after examining the deaths caused by accidents and incidents, its role on the future of Iran's population was studied. The results showed that deaths from accidents account for about 8% of all causes of death in Iran. The deaths due to accident for men aged 15 to 30 are significant and is an indication of premature death. Based on the results, short-term and long-term plans to reduce deaths due to accidents will play a role in the growth, structure and number of Iran's population in the future.

فوت در اثر سوانح و حوادث, پیش‌بینی جمعیت, امیدزندگی, گذار جمعیتی, مرگ زودرس