Prediction of Breast Cancer Risk in Women over ۳۵ Years Old Living in Villages of Zanjan: A Study Based on Gail Model

Publish Year: 1396
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: English
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_NMCJ-7-3_005

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 22 آذر 1400

Abstract:

Background: Breast cancer is one of the most important malignancies in both developed and developing countries. Objectives: To reduce the burden of this disease, the prediction of individuals at risk and implementation of efficient preventive interventions can be effective. The present study was aimed at investigating five-year and lifetime risks of the breast cancer in a rural community in Zanjan province, Iran. Methods: A total of ۴۳۵ subjects aged ۳۵ years old were randomly selected using systematic randomization in a rural community in Zanjan. The participation rate was ۹۲.۴% (۴۰۲ women). Data collection instrument was a questionnaire in which all associated variables of Gail model and demographic information were included. The data were analyzed using SPSS software version ۱۸, and mean cancer risks were reported. Results: Family history of breast cancer and history of breast biopsy were found to be positive in ۳.۵% and ۰.۳% of participants, respectively. Out of all participants, ۸۴.۳% were under ۶۰ years old and ۱۳.۲% were illiterate. Five-year and lifetime mean risks were fund to be ۰.۷۴% and ۷.۶%, respectively. About ۲% of the participants had a higher cancer risk>۱.۶۶%. Conclusion: The findings demonstrated that based on the Gail model, the lifetime risk of the participants will be one out of ۱۳ women. Given the lower estimations of Gail model in the prediction of breast cancer, we suggest general population interventions and high-risk strategies be implemented to decrease problems associated with the breast cancer in the future.  

Authors

Neda Ghavanloo

MD. Dept. of Health Care Management, Zanjan Social Health Research Center, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Zanjan, Iran

Somayeh Abdollahi Sabet

MD. Dept. of Health Care Management, Zanjan Social Health Research Center, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Zanjan, Iran

علیرضا شغلی

MD. Dept. of Health Care Management, Zanjan Social Health Research Center, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Zanjan, Iran

Esmail Rezazade

PhD. Student, Hospital Administration Research Center, Sari Brranch,IslamicAzad University, Sari,Iran

Benyamin Mohseni Saravi

PhD. Health information management, Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, Iran

Nima Motamed

MD. Dept. of Health Care Management, Zanjan Social Health Research Center, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Zanjan, Iran

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