Post-Covid-۱۹ Energy Transition Strategies: Even Reaching ۱۰۰% Renewable in Ecuador by ۲۰۵۵ is not Enough to Face Climate Change Issue

The pandemic scenario caused by Covid-۱۹ generated negative impacts. Covid-۱۹ has made it clear that our daily lives depend to a high degree on access to energy. Therefore, now more than ever, it is necessary to promote new activities such as local food production, but also local energy capture. This article is an attempt to expose and quantify the benefits of a renewable energy transition in Ecuador post Covid-۱۹ and post-oil. The generation, consumption, and reserves of oil in Ecuador were characterized, and the concept of energy transition was applied to evaluate the possibilities of integration of renewables, the progressive exit of thermal power plants, and future energy strategies. The year ۲۰۱۵ was taken as a basis and it was determined that energy use was ۱۵۴.۰ TWh / year, which corresponds to an end-user of approximately ۱۴۷ TWh / year. The objective was to reduce this end-use demand to ۸۰.۰ TWh/year by ۲۰۵۵ through the integration of renewables and energy efficiency, for which ۵ transition phases were planned until a ۱۰۰% renewable system was obtained. It is concluded that the energy transition in Ecuador is technically possible and economically viable, without giving up the energy well-being that we currently enjoy. However, results show that even ۱۰۰% renewable is not enough to face climate change.

Keywords:

COVID-۱۹ , energy transition , Power Industry , Renewable Energy