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The Effect of Unemployment Rate on Fiscal Policy in the Political Cycle

عنوان مقاله: The Effect of Unemployment Rate on Fiscal Policy in the Political Cycle
شناسه ملی مقاله: JR_BGS-6-1_010
منتشر شده در در سال 1403
مشخصات نویسندگان مقاله:

Nasibeh Keramatizadeh - Department of Economics, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran
Majid Maddah - Department of Economics, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran

خلاصه مقاله:
Unemployment is one of the big problems that the country is facing. On the other hand, governments seek to avoid social unrest caused by problems such as unemployment. Therefore, in this research, the government's policy in the face of social unrest caused by the unemployment rate has been investigated. In this regard, the effect of the unemployment rate as a representative of social unrest on public debt, government expenses, and tax revenues in ۳۱ provinces in ۲۰۱۱-۲۰۱۹ has been studied. The feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) method was used to estimate this study's regression model. The results of this research show that with the increase in the unemployment rate, the government's public debt has significantly increased. The government's tax revenues have decreased, which indicates that the ruling governments in Iran from ۲۰۱۱ to ۲۰۲۰ are facing unrest caused by They have used the unemployment rate from issuing public debt.Unemployment is one of the big problems that the country is facing. On the other hand, governments seek to avoid social unrest caused by problems such as unemployment. Therefore, in this research, the government's policy in the face of social unrest caused by the unemployment rate has been investigated. In this regard, the effect of the unemployment rate as a representative of social unrest on public debt, government expenses, and tax revenues in ۳۱ provinces in ۲۰۱۱-۲۰۱۹ has been studied. The feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) method was used to estimate this study's regression model. The results of this research show that with the increase in the unemployment rate, the government's public debt has significantly increased. The government's tax revenues have decreased, which indicates that the ruling governments in Iran from ۲۰۱۱ to ۲۰۲۰ are facing unrest caused by They have used the unemployment rate from issuing public debt.

کلمات کلیدی:
Unemployment Rate, Government Policy, Least Squares Method

صفحه اختصاصی مقاله و دریافت فایل کامل: https://civilica.com/doc/2043455/