Geographical Analysis of the Role of Public Transportation on the Spatial Distribution of Covid-۱۹ Disease Outbreaks (Case Study: Sadeghieh Neighborhood of Tehran)

Background: The study of the spatial distribution of epidemics and the investigation of their seasonal spread trend in geographical structures are done using statistical analysis to control society during the epidemics.Objectives: The Covid-۱۹ (SARS-CoV-۲) disease, which has been prevalent since late December ۲۰۱۹, affected all bases and elements of urban and rural communities. For this reason, many studies were conducted to control this disease during the period. In the present study, public transportation systems were investigated as systems that transmitted the disease to new areas and increased the number of infected areas.Methodology: In this study, by collecting data from Sadeghieh neighborhood in Tehran, an attempt was made to investigate temporally the spatial distribution trend of the number of infected people with Covid-۱۹. The research was analytical and descriptive. Sadeghieh neighborhood in Tehran was selected as the study area.Results: The relationship between the spatial distribution of the number of Covid-۱۹ infected people and the transportation system in this neighborhood was investigated in a seasonal trend. For this purpose, the number of passengers entered Sadeghieh subway stations, separately for each season within ۲۰۲۰-۲۰۲۱ and the infected people with Covid-۱۹ in this neighborhood were considered as the statistical population.Conclusion: The results of this study showed that in spring, summer and winter, the incidence of the disease followed the same trend as the number of subway passengers. But in autumn, a sudden increase and sinusoidal fluctuations were observed in the incidence rate; and the measured variables did not follow the same trend.

Keywords:

Covid-۱۹ , Spatial distribution , Seasonal Trend , Railroad Transportation , Travel Behavior