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Proficiency of Technical Analysis to Forecast Prices Crash in Capital Markets

عنوان مقاله: Proficiency of Technical Analysis to Forecast Prices Crash in Capital Markets
شناسه ملی مقاله: MOCONF01_1158
منتشر شده در کنفرانس بین المللی حسابداری و مدیریت در سال 1393
مشخصات نویسندگان مقاله:

Mohsen Ghobadi - Department of Financial Engineering, Islamic Azad University, Dehaghan Branch, Iran
Abdolmajid Abdolbaghi - Department of management, Sheikh Bahaei University,Isfahan.Iran

خلاصه مقاله:
We empirically examine Proficiency of Technical Analysis to forecast prices crash. Therefore, trading signal returns done by Technical Analysis rules have been evaluated. Sample prices data include Copper, Silver, Wheat, Gold, USD Dollar Index, Zinc, Still, WTI Oil, from 2000 to 2013 by referring to transaction costs. We next rely on T-TEST to evaluate prices crash and Pearson Correlation experiments to find indicators Correlation. There were five market prices crash over our sample period, we find important differences in the characteristics of market crashes between the instruments indexes. According to confidence level, 95% all the technical analysis indicators used in this research can forecast Prices Crash. findings are important, because the investors that uses technical analysts with six months or more investment horizons, technical trading rules continue to provide diversification benefits even during times of market crash crisis.

کلمات کلیدی:
Technical Analysis, Capital Market, Prices Crash, Financial Crisis,

صفحه اختصاصی مقاله و دریافت فایل کامل: https://civilica.com/doc/393357/