Project budget estimation using Bayesian validation belief network

Cost estimation in the supply chain, is one of the important issues that each institution or a factory is facing in cost estimation cost more or less or equal to the budget .In case of equally or less we will not have any trouble but we should take measures to reduce the cost of condolence. The purpose of this issue is first budget estimation of the project and then showing greater the cost of the original budget using Bayesian network that in four different scenario of the company s final budget is calculated .Bayesian networks, is a very simple and fruitful solution to solve the case here in a one - way authentication method and the composition of the divided into two phases, and we reached to the answer with the simple method of solving the budget.

Keywords:

Bayesian belief network , authentication , budget allocations , one source , the risk