Application of Neuro-Fuzzy models In Short Term Electricity Load Forecast
Publish place: 14th annual International CSI Computer Conference
Publish Year: 1388
نوع سند: مقاله کنفرانسی
زبان: English
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:
CSICC14_050
تاریخ نمایه سازی: 24 خرداد 1388
Abstract:
One of the important requirements for operational planning of electrical utilities is the prediction of hourly load up to several days, known as Short Term Load Forecasting (STLF). Considering the effect of its accuracy on system security and also economical aspects, there is an on-going attention toward putting new approaches to the task. Recently, Neuro Fuzzy modeling has played a successful role in various applications over nonlinear time series prediction. This paper presents a neuro-fuzzy model for the application of short-term load forecasting. This model is identified through Locally Liner Model Tree (LoLiMoT) learning algorithm. The model is compared to a multilayer perceptron and ohonen Classification and Intervention Analysis. The models are trained and assessed on load data extracted from EUNITE network competition.
Authors
A.R Koushki
Department of Computer Engineering,Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University,Tehran,Iran
M Nosrati Maralloo
Department of Computer Engineering,Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University,Tehran,Iran
C Lucas
Control and Intelligent Processing Center of Excellence, Electrical and Computer Eng. Department, University of Tehran,Tehran, Iran
A Kalhor
Control and Intelligent Processing Center of Excellence, Electrical and Computer Eng. Department, University of Tehran,Tehran, Iran