Modeling of Solar Radiation Potential in Iran Using Artificial Neural Networks
Publish Year: 1394
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: English
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:
JR_JASTMO-17-7_005
تاریخ نمایه سازی: 1 آذر 1402
Abstract:
Solar radiation data play an important role in solar energy relevant researches. These data are not available for some locations due to the absence of the meteorological stations. Therefore, solar radiation data have to be predicted by using solar radiation estimation models. This study presents an integrated Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approach for estimating solar radiation potential over Iran based on geographical and meteorological data. For this aim, the measured data of ۳۱ stations spread over Iran were used to train Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) neural networks with different input variables, and solar radiation was the output. The accuracy of the models was evaluated using the statistical indicators of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Correlation Coefficient (R); hence, the best model in each category was identified. The Stepwise Multi NonLinear Regression (MNLR) method was used to determine the most suitable input variables. The results obtained from the ANN models were compared with the measured data. The MAPE and RMSE were found to be ۲.۹۸% and ۰.۰۲۲۴, respectively. The obtained R value was about ۹۹.۸۵% for the testing data set. The results testify to the generalization capability of the ANN model and its excellent ability to predict solar radiation in Iran.
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Authors
Sh. Gorjian
Department of Biosystems Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University (T.M.U.), Tehran, Iran. P.O. Box ۱۴۱۱۵-۱۱۱.
B. Ghobadian
Department of Biosystems Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University (T.M.U.), Tehran, Iran. P.O. Box ۱۴۱۱۵-۱۱۱.
T. Tavakkoli Hashjin
Department of Biosystems Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University (T.M.U.), Tehran, Iran. P.O. Box ۱۴۱۱۵-۱۱۱.
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