How to Control the House Prices Through the Demand Sides?

This study aims to examine and analyze the factors, which influence house prices from the demand side in developed and developing countries. It was tested using the Generalized Method of Moments with the dependent and the independent variable of the house price index involving real interest rates, credit, economic, and population growth. This study uses ۵۴-panel data that is divided into ۳۱ sub-groups of developed countries and ۲۳ developing countries from ۲۰۰۵ to ۲۰۱۷. This research tries to contribute to observing the role of macroprudential and monetary policies in controlling housing prices globally in both developed and emerging markets as well as looking for the relationship between credit growth and house prices because credit is the closest macroprudential and monetary policy channel to the real sector. The results showed that interest rates, credit, economic, and population growth significantly affect housing prices. Interest rate variables have a negative effect, while credit, economic growth, and population growth have a positive effect on house prices. The influence coefficient's magnitude is different from developed countries to have a more significant influence than developing countries. Another result shows that the improvement of the house price index caused by credit growth enhancement in developed countries is greater than in developing countries. Furthermore, the study provides suggestions for policymakers to control house prices due to a reduction, which causes a financial crisis. Therefore, the government needs to enter into financial institutions to increase prudence in the housing finance system.

Keywords:

Credit Growth , economic growth , House Prices , Money Supply , Real Interest Rates