Remittance Inflow and Unemployment in Nigeria
Publish place: Iranian Economic Review Journal، Vol: 26، Issue: 3
Publish Year: 1401
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: English
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:
JR_IER-26-3_012
تاریخ نمایه سازی: 21 مهر 1402
Abstract:
Nigeria is unarguably one of the countries with its citizens widely spread across the globe and the income earned forms a huge chunk of remittance back to Nigeria. The study focuses on what implications remittances may have for unemployment in Nigeria. Remittance is treated as being endogenously determined by the number of migrants, the nominal exchange rate (with the Naira as local currency), the inflation rate and the migrants’ income. Data from ۱۹۸۱ to ۲۰۱۹ is calibrated for structural break points and stationarity under conditions of regimes changes. While the data was found to have been affected by regime changes and stationary in levels, an Instrumental Variable Regression model was estimated and it was found that remittance positively and significantly influence unemployment. However, when remittance is interacted with the dependants in Nigeria, unemployment is observed to fall. The study strongly recommends that fiscal planning should take an account of the inflow of remittances when curbing unemployment. The study further recommends that there is the need to deliberately encourage a rise in the demand for the Naira as this would protect the value of locally produced goods from being eroded by remittances.
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Authors
Godfrey Ihedimma
Department of Economics, Spiritan University, Nneochi, Abia State, Nigeria
Godstime Opara
Department of Economics, Imo State University, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria
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