Natural Gas Demand in Poland in Years 2010-2050 Based on Logistic Curves Interpretation
Publish place: 4th National Energy Congress
Publish Year: 1382
Type: Conference paper
Language: English
View: 1,607
This Paper With 10 Page And PDF Format Ready To Download
- Certificate
- I'm the author of the paper
Export:
Document National Code:
NEC04_102
Index date: 13 October 2006
Natural Gas Demand in Poland in Years 2010-2050 Based on Logistic Curves Interpretation abstract
The paper describes the possible scenario of development of gas sector in the Poland. An adaptation of worldwide known Hubbert model is implemented to the Poland situation based upon Startzman modification. The model presented describes hypothetical natural gas demand, based on average trend of the economy development during the last decades; the model considers natural production/demand maximum of energy carriers. The prognosis is loaded with an error resulting of the averaging data related to yearly increase of the national gross product. The adapted model expresses good compatibility with the natural gas demand of the period 1995-2000. The simple structure of the model enables possibility of yearly updating, and eventual correction of the natural gas demand. In cases of untypical changes of the economy growth rate (long stagnation, extreme long and accelerated development), the prognosis error may increase.
Natural Gas Demand in Poland in Years 2010-2050 Based on Logistic Curves Interpretation Keywords:
Natural Gas Demand in Poland in Years 2010-2050 Based on Logistic Curves Interpretation authors
مراجع و منابع این Paper:
لیست زیر مراجع و منابع استفاده شده در این Paper را نمایش می دهد. این مراجع به صورت کاملا ماشینی و بر اساس هوش مصنوعی استخراج شده اند و لذا ممکن است دارای اشکالاتی باشند که به مرور زمان دقت استخراج این محتوا افزایش می یابد. مراجعی که مقالات مربوط به آنها در سیویلیکا نمایه شده و پیدا شده اند، به خود Paper لینک شده اند :