Analysis of the population forecast situation in the horizon of 1410 in Baneh city

Housing, one of the basic needs of humans, has become a challenge in developing countries. After the industrial revolution, urbanization increased significantly in the world and this development led to the emergence of challenges such as housing shortage. Therefore, the research examines the qualitative and quantitative indicators of housing and population forecasting in Baneh city. The main goal of this research is to identify and analyze the quantitative and qualitative problems of housing in Baneh and forecast the population. The current research is descriptive-analytical in terms of its nature and research method and it collects data from the results of the census and from the Nema model to predict population factors and from the Spectrum software to predict the total population using the raw method to predict housing and from the Nema method for Terrain forecasting is used. The results of the research showed that with three assumptions of increase; The stability and decrease of fertility in the horizon of 1410 according to the first assumption of the population forecast with a rate of 1.2 increase (0.3), the second assumption of the population forecast with a fertility rate of 8.1 (this fertility stability) and the third assumption of population prediction with a fertility rate of 4.1 (0.3 decrease in fertility) and 99 to 105 hectares of land is needed to provide housing., stability and fertility reduction in Baneh, respectively, 228.27, 225.12 and 222.18 hectares of land will be needed to build a residential unit in 1410 horizon.

Analysis of the population forecast situation in the horizon of 1410 in Baneh city Keywords:

Housing , population , household , Baneh city , Spectrum software