Classification of Exchange Rate Prediction Methods with a Focus on Deep Learning Techniques

Publish Year: 1404
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: English
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_ITRC-17-2_003

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 19 مرداد 1404

Abstract:

Currency exchange rate forecasting has always been one of the important issues for economic activists. In this context, the stationary, and non-linear behavior of this variable and random walk claim mentioned in some empirical studies have made forecasting as one of the challenges, and concerns in the field of economics. The present study briefly classifies various currency exchange rates forecasting models and methods, then focuses on five deep learning methods, including Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) and Reinforcement Learning (RL). For this purpose, the report of various studies on forecasting currency exchange rates using the above methods, with objectives, such as identifying the researchers in this field, the scope of studies, the scientific centers conducting studies, along with their geographical distribution, mixed methods used, studied currency pairs, forecasting periods, data frequency, evaluation criteria, obtained accuracy and features used for forecasting were studied. The study results will help future research in this field more effectively identify the research gaps with classified access to the previous studies, and define the topic and scope of future research to complete previous studies.

Keywords:

currency exchange rate forecasting , forex , machine learning , deep learning , time series

Authors

Seyed Jafar Mortazavian Farsani

Department of Information Technology Management Faculty of Management and Economics Science and Research Branch Islamic Azad University

Abbas Toloie Eshlaghy

Department of Information Technology Management Faculty of Management and Economics Science and Research Branch Islamic Azad University

Reza Radfar

Department of Information Technology Management Faculty of Management and Economics Science and Research Branch Islamic Azad University