Renewable Energy Transition Scenario Analysis for Turkey

Fossil fuel thermal power plants constitute the large part of the Turkish electricity generation capacity. The Turkish government has been developing several energy policy documents to evaluate how various renewable energy sources of the country can be utilized optimally in the generation of electricity the next 30 years. We have studied three scenarios in the transition to renewable energy for Turkey; the business as usual (BAU), energy conservation (EC) and renewable energy (REN) scenarios. EC scenario considers the use of energy-efficient appliances and imposing a carbon tax, whereas REN scenario considers increasing the share of the renewable energy sources as much as possible in the power generation mix. We have evaluated these scenarios in terms of cost and environmental impact. The LEAP model was used in the research. The renewable energy scenario has been shown to be the optimal energy policy option in terms of cost and environmental impact

Keywords:

Electricity generation , renewable energy sources , carbon tax , LEAP