Oil Revenues, Fluctuations in Economic Growth Rates and the Risk of political Instability in Iran in post JCPOA
Publish place: Petroleum Business Review، Vol: 4، Issue: 2
Publish Year: 1399
Type: Journal paper
Language: English
View: 334
This Paper With 18 Page And PDF Format Ready To Download
- Certificate
- I'm the author of the paper
Export:
Document National Code:
JR_PBR-4-2_002
Index date: 12 December 2020
Oil Revenues, Fluctuations in Economic Growth Rates and the Risk of political Instability in Iran in post JCPOA abstract
The present paper is meant to answer the question: How fluctuation in economic growth rate increased the risk of instability in Iran in the Post-JCPOA? In response and based on reliable data and taking a political economy approach, it is hypothesized that the high fluctuations in the economic growth rate associated with JCPOA has led to the political instability through deepening and intensification of expectations gap. To do so and using a comparative method, a number of factors associated with calculating modes of added value (sub-sectors including agriculture, oil, industry and mining, and ) as well as international indicators affecting the economic growth are analyzed in the two time spans of pre and post JCPOA. For further validity, reference is made to the results of some polls conducted by some credible institutes. The findings show that the sudden rise and fall of the economic growth rate due to oil revenues after the agreement turned the hope created in the context of the expected gap formed by the promises of the agreement into disappointment; and paved the way for street unrests
Oil Revenues, Fluctuations in Economic Growth Rates and the Risk of political Instability in Iran in post JCPOA Keywords:
Oil Revenues, Fluctuations in Economic Growth Rates and the Risk of political Instability in Iran in post JCPOA authors
Alireza Khosravi
Assistant Professor, International Relation Department, Faculty of Law and Political Science, Tehran University, Tehran, Iran
Mohammad Jafari
Researcher in Economic Issues, Tehran, Iran