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Paper
Title

Developing a Model for the Risk of the Rail Vehicles Collision Using Bayesian Network

Year: 1400
COI: JR_IJTE-9-2_003
Language: EnglishView: 55
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Authors

shahin shabani - Department of Civil Engineering, Payam e Noor University(PNU), P.O.BOX ۱۹۳۹۵-۴۶۹۷. Tehran, Iran
Jabbar Ali Zakeri - Iran university of science and Technology
vahid rezaei tabar - Department of Statistics, Faculty of Mathematical Sciences and Computer, Allameh Tabataba&#۰۳۹;i University, Tehran, Iran.
Azadeh Ghanbarpour - PhD candidate for Highway and Transportation Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran.

Abstract:

Risk analysis of the rail vehicles collision as one of the most important accidents with the rate of nearly ۴ percent of the total accidents has always been of great interest especially for the railway safety decision makers. The reason might be revealed while considering the chain of causes and the scenarios of consequences. The superiority of modeling by Bayesian networks method for analyzing the risk of such accidents is that not only the conditional probability of each cause (hazard) as a variable is assessed but also with having any new evidence, the model can be updated subsequently and the consequences can be monitored. The methodology consists of two major categories of qualitative and quantitative parts while the concluded model is a mixture of the two methods. Main causes of a collision are grouped as environmental, signaling and human factors. Resulted model gives the highest probability to the shunting limit signal as a subdivision of the human errors. Evaluating the consequences resulted in the severity of “second degree” based on the Iranian railway accidents severity categorization guideline.

Keywords:

Paper COI Code

This Paper COI Code is JR_IJTE-9-2_003. Also You can use the following address to link to this article. This link is permanent and is used as an article registration confirmation in the Civilica reference:

https://civilica.com/doc/1351035/

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shabani, shahin and Zakeri, Jabbar Ali and rezaei tabar, vahid and Ghanbarpour, Azadeh,1400,Developing a Model for the Risk of the Rail Vehicles Collision Using Bayesian Network,https://civilica.com/doc/1351035

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  • Butler, P. A. (۲۰۰۱). Train collision system, Google Patents.. ...
  • Li, C., W Li and J Ning. (۲۰۱۸). Calculation of ...
  • Li, S., B Cai, J Liu and J Wang. (۲۰۱۸). ...
  • Lin, C.-Y. (۲۰۱۹). Probabilistic risk assessment of railroad train adjacent ...
  • Liu, X. (۲۰۱۶). "Analysis of collision risk for freight trains ...
  • Mehranfar, H., A Tadayon and M Sadeghi. (۲۰۱۹). Major Factor ...
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  • Zhu, X., XZ Lu, QL Cheng and Y Li. (۲۰۱۹). ...

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Scientometrics

The specifications of the publisher center of this Paper are as follows:
Type of center: پیام نور
Paper count: 63,767
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