Futures of Iran’s Software Industry a Scenario Development Approach
Publish Year: 1395
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: English
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:
JR_JITM-8-4_007
تاریخ نمایه سازی: 26 بهمن 1400
Abstract:
The software industry is a manifestation of soft skills as well as human abstract and intangible thinking based on human intelligence. However, the effects are understandable. Passing the hardware era and considering software technologies reveals the necessity of the capable human factor and software industry. Despite the efforts that have been made in this field in Iran, yet the technology is not a sustainable industry. Consequently, planning in this field requires a deep consideration and futurology. This article provided alternative futures of the industry for domestic producers and policy makers. The scope of the research was Iranian software sectors until ۱۴۰۴. This study was conducted by applying qualitative methods, such as: PEST analysis, Porter's Forces, content analysis, semi-structured interviews with experts of software industry and developing scenarios by GBN on critical uncertainties. Finally, four scenarios were presented by two main uncertainties, including ۱. Government policy and executive advocacy of the software industry, ۲. International engagement of it.
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Authors
سید سپهر قاضی نوری
Associate Prof. in IT., Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran
فاطمه ثقفی
Assistant Prof., Interdisciplinary Department of Technology, Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
مریم میرزایی
Ph.D. Candidate, Futures Studies, Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
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