Prediction of local scouring in braided rivers by stochastic modeling
Publish place: 9th International Congress on Civil Engineering
Publish Year: 1391
نوع سند: مقاله کنفرانسی
زبان: English
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:
ICCE09_262
تاریخ نمایه سازی: 7 مهر 1391
Abstract:
In this paper, a new stochastic method for predicting scour hole depth in the future is presented in the braided river. The model procedure is as follows:1- It is to apply regression equation with bed height as a dependent parameter and three independent parameters of maximum daily flow, and its corresponding sediment discharge and bed slope, these equations were derived at certain points along the river cross-sections over a specific time.2- By applying observed data, sediment rating curve equation as well as a relationship between slope, water and sediment discharge were derived.3- Simulation of maximum monthly flow by ARIMA stochastic modeling.4- By substituting values obtained from step 3 into 2 and 1, respectively, river bed height was predicted along the cross-sections. - The values of the deepest bed height is selected maximum scour hole depth. Yahagi river in Japan was selected as a case study due to comprehensive and accessible data base. A comparison of observed data and predicted values indicate a seasonable agreement between them.
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Authors
s Pourbakhshian
Ph.D Student , Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran, Iran
M.R.M Tabatabai
Assistant Prof., Waters Engineering Department Power and Water University, Tehran, Iran
m ouraminian
faculty member, Department of Civil Engineering, Ramsar Branch Islamic Azad University-Ramsar-Iran
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